Dr Patrick McSharry is Head of Catastrophe Risk Financing at the Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, University of Oxford. He is a Senior Academic in the Willis Research Network, a Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society, a Senior Member of the IEEE and a member of the International Institute of Forecasters. He takes a multidisciplinary approach to developing quantitative techniques for forecasting, classification, decision-making and risk management. His research focuses on probabilistic forecasting of nonlinear complex systems, prediction analytics and machine learning and he is particularly interested in how decision-makers and policy-makers integrate information from quantitative and qualitative models. He has published over 75 peer-reviewed papers, is the Principal Investigator on a number of academic grants, and consults for national and international government agencies and the insurance, finance, energy and healthcare sectors.

Research interests

signal processing, time series analysis, machine learning, mathematical modelling, systems modelling, forecasting, classification, risk analysis, decision-making, natural catastrophes, environmental change, wind energy, healthcare

Positions held at the OII

  • Research Associate, October 2012 – November 2019