Patents can help us understand wildlife trade trends, says Oxford study
Researchers from the Oxford Martin Programme on Wildlife Trade at the University of Oxford have identified analyses of patent-filing trends as a viable way to understand the wildlife trade’s future direction.
In their paper published today in Nature Communications, the researchers say that patent data provide a novel source of evidence that can help identify future commercial trends associated with the overharvesting of wildlife.
For example, when companies continue to file patents for products made from animals banned from commercial trade, such as rhinos, this can suggest a belief that these markets might reopen in the future. Patents for wildlife product alternatives, such as farmed or synthetic pangolin products, may also be indicative of a shift away from a trade in wild specimens of species.
Using a novel machine-learning approach, the research team analysed over 27,000 patents from 1970 to 2020 related to six traded organisms and found their number had increased by 130% per annum on average, compared with a background rate of 104% for patents filed globally.
They also found that stricter regulation of wildlife markets did not lead to reduced patenting.
Dr Amy Hinsley, Research Fellow and Co-Director of the Oxford Martin Programme on Wildlife Trade at the University of Oxford, and joint lead author of the paper, said:
‘Our findings show that the wildlife trade is like any other commercial trade, with businesses constantly innovating to develop new products or methods to produce them. We found a wide range of patents, from novel pangolin farming methods to new medicinal products made from rhino horn, and we were surprised to see that patenting continued, even after trade in these products was banned.’
The team looked at patenting for six different highly traded groups of organisms:
The researchers reported that in addition to an overall increase in patent filing above the global average, patenting rates related to the study’s focal organisms surged at certain key points. For example, there was a spike in patents for medicinal rhino products over March 2008, coinciding with that year’s significant increase in poaching. This increase occurred despite China domestically banning such products since 1993.
This means that patenting generally increased even after the introduction of regulations that banned or heavily regulated commercial trade in wildlife. In the case of rhino horn, all 526 patents were filed after a 1977 international commercial trade ban for wild products; of these, 426 were filed in China after the 1993 ban. This suggests that companies are either hoping for a relaxation of rules banning such products or planning to develop products using illegally-acquired horn.
Finally, the researchers also reported that ongoing innovation has led to a diversification of wildlife-derived products, such as rhino horn snuff products and livestock feed containing pangolin scales.
‘Our novel study suggests that regulatory measures such as commercial trade bans do not mean the end of trade in particular species and their derivatives. To prevent the overexploitation of wild species necessitates understanding the complex systems in which harvest and trade take place, including different actors and their incentives, and then devising interventions that are most likely to result in sustainability,’ added Dr Dan Challender, Research Fellow with the Oxford Martin Programme on Wildlife Trade and co-author of the paper.
Policymakers could work with businesses and entrepreneurs identified by such patents to proactively develop measures that encourage commercial innovation as well as work towards meeting sustainability and conservation goals, say the researchers.
Professor Joss Wright, Senior Research Fellow at the Oxford Internet Institute, Co-Director of the Oxford Martin Programme on Wildlife Trade at the University of Oxford, and joint lead author of the paper, added:
‘To understand the complexities of the wildlife trade, and the risks it poses to species, we need to draw on all the data at our disposal. Our study shows that emerging computational methods can help us to find patterns in large and complex datasets across a wide range of perspectives, from species populations, to environmental measurements, to human behaviour.’
‘The tools we now have to identify trends and shifts in such data are allowing us to develop crucial insights into the effects that human activity is having, and will have, on the natural world.’
The paper’s authors are affiliated to the Department of Biology, Oxford Internet Institute and Said Business School at the University of Oxford; as well as the Naturalis Biodiversity Centre in the Netherlands.
For Editors
For interview requests or media enquiries, please contact Amjad Parkar, Oxford Martin School: amjad.parkar@oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk
The study ‘Early warning of trends in commercial wildlife trade through novel machine-learning analysis of patent filing’ was published at 10:00 am on 1st August 2024 in Nature Communications.
About the Oxford Martin Programme on Wildlife Trade
The overarching research question the Oxford Martin Programme on Wildlife Trade aims to answer is: ‘How can consumer behaviour be changed, in order to reduce trade in wildlife products?’
To answer this question, the programme looks to develop new frameworks for understanding consumer profiles, preferences and motivations and determine the dynamics of online and physical markets for selected illegal wildlife products.
It will trial new approaches for monitoring online sales of prohibited goods, promoting behavioural change, and evaluating the impact of conservation interventions. The researchers will also test innovative interventions to change consumer behaviour.
About the University of Oxford
Oxford University has been placed number 1 in the Times Higher Education World University Rankings for the eighth year running, and number 3 in the QS World Rankings 2024. At the heart of this success are the twin-pillars of our ground-breaking research and innovation and our distinctive educational offer.
Oxford is world-famous for research and teaching excellence and home to some of the most talented people from across the globe. Our work helps the lives of millions, solving real-world problems through a huge network of partnerships and collaborations. The breadth and interdisciplinary nature of our research alongside our personalised approach to teaching sparks imaginative and inventive insights and solutions.
Through its research commercialisation arm, Oxford University Innovation, Oxford is the highest university patent filer in the UK and is ranked first in the UK for university spinouts, having created more than 300 new companies since 1988. Over a third of these companies have been created in the past five years. The university is a catalyst for prosperity in Oxfordshire and the United Kingdom, contributing £15.7 billion to the UK economy in 2018/19, and supports more than 28,000 full time jobs.
This project will develop an international hub to track and analyse the global wildlife trade, both online and offline, and develop strategies to reduce the threat of the trade through social policy interventions.
